Varesina vs Città di Varese prediction

So far in the Serie D - Girone D, Varesina have won two, drawn five and lost three of ten, with 13 goals scored and 14 conceded, good for 14th place and 11 points.

Over the last six matches it has been no wins, four draws and two defeats, averaging 0.8 goals for and 1.3 against. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Castellanzese; before that came a goalless draw at home to Pro Sesto and a 2-2 draw away at Pavia.

Varesina are unbeaten in four. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. At home they've won none of three recently (0 scored, 1 conceded).

Città di Varese have won three, drawn four and lost three of their ten Serie D - Girone D games so far, scoring 15 and letting in 11. That has them 9th on 13 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, two draws and two defeats, at 2.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by Solbiatese; before that came a 5-1 win away at Arconatese and a 2-0 win at home to Oltrepò.

Città di Varese are unbeaten in three. Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won one of two recently (7 scored, 4 conceded).

Home and away form points to Città di Varese: Varesina have won none of their last three at home, Città di Varese one of their last two on the road. Two points separate the two sides in the table. Città di Varese also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Varesina favourites at 39%, with Città di Varese on 31% and the draw at 30%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Varesina still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.5 in the game: 1.3 for Varesina and 1.2 for Città di Varese. Over 2.5 goals is 46% and both teams scoring 51%. When they last met, on 1 Sept 2024, Città di Varese won 2-0.