Exeter City vs Crewe prediction

Exeter City have won five, drawn four and lost five of their 14 League Two games so far, scoring 11 and letting in 9. That has them 12th on 19 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, three draws and one defeat, at 1.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by Colchester; before that came a 1-0 win away at Shrewsbury and a 2-2 draw at home to Oxford.

Exeter City are unbeaten in four. Three clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won one of two recently (3 scored, 2 conceded).

So far in the League Two, Crewe have won five, drawn seven and lost two of 14, with 17 goals scored and 17 conceded, good for 4th place and 22 points.

Over the last six matches it has been four wins, two draws and no defeats, averaging 2.3 goals for and 1.2 against. Last time out they beat Rochdale 3-2 at home; before that came a 1-0 win away at Swindon and a 2-2 draw away at Blackpool.

Crewe are unbeaten in six. They have scored in each of their last six. On the road they've won one of three recently (4 scored, 3 conceded).

There isn't much between Exeter City's home form and Crewe's away form. Three points separate the two sides in the table. Crewe also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Exeter City favourites at 41%, with Crewe on 29% and the draw at 29%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.5 in the game: 1.3 for Exeter City and 1.2 for Crewe. Over 2.5 goals is 45% and both teams scoring 47%. Their last meeting, on 3 Mar 2020, finished 1-1.