Mecklenburg Schwerin vs Siedenbollentin prediction

Mecklenburg Schwerin have won two, drawn five and lost three of their ten Oberliga - Nordost-Nord games so far, scoring 13 and letting in 16. That has them 12th on 11 points.

Their last six in all competitions read no wins, three draws and three defeats, at 1.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Union Klosterfelde; before that came a 1-1 draw at home to Lichtenberg and a 2-0 defeat away at Neustrelitz.

Mecklenburg Schwerin haven't won in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. At home they've won none of three recently (4 scored, 5 conceded).

So far in the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord, Siedenbollentin have won four, drawn three and lost three of ten, with 13 goals scored and 8 conceded, good for 7th place and 15 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, three draws and two defeats, averaging 0.7 goals for and 0.7 against. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Lichtenberg; before that came a 1-0 defeat at home to Hansa Rostock II and a goalless draw away at Anker Wismar.

Siedenbollentin haven't won in five. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. On the road they've won none of three recently (2 scored, 2 conceded).

There isn't much between Mecklenburg Schwerin's home form and Siedenbollentin's away form. Four points separate the two sides in the table. Siedenbollentin also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Mecklenburg Schwerin favourites at 41%, with Siedenbollentin on 32% and the draw at 27%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Mecklenburg Schwerin still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.8 in the game: 1.4 for Mecklenburg Schwerin and 1.4 for Siedenbollentin. Over 2.5 goals is 51% and both teams scoring 54%.