Leiston vs Guiseley prediction

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, one draw and three defeats, averaging 1.2 goals for and 1.7 against. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by Racing Club Warwick; before that came a 3-1 win at home to Coventry United and a 3-2 defeat away at Real Bedford.

They failed to score in three of those games. At home they've won one of three recently (3 scored, 6 conceded).

Their last six in all competitions read five wins, no draws and one defeat, at 2.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Avro 1-0 away; before that came a 2-0 win away at Ilkeston Town and a 1-0 win at home to Bradford (Park Avenue).

Guiseley are unbeaten in three. Three clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won three of four recently (7 scored, 2 conceded).

Home and away form points to Guiseley: Leiston have won one of their last three at home, Guiseley three of their last four on the road. Guiseley also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Leiston favourites at 49%, with Guiseley on 32% and the draw at 20%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Leiston still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.9 in the game: 1.6 for Leiston and 1.3 for Guiseley. Over 2.5 goals is 54% and both teams scoring 57%.