Kilmarnock vs Hearts prediction

So far in the Premiership, Kilmarnock have won two, drawn three and lost seven of 12, with 13 goals scored and 28 conceded, good for 11th place and 9 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, one draw and four defeats, averaging 0.8 goals for and 2.3 against. Last time out they beat Hibernian 1-0 away; before that came a goalless draw away at Aberdeen and a 1-0 defeat at home to St Mirren.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. At home they've won none of three recently (1 scored, 10 conceded).

Hearts have won six, drawn two and lost three of their 11 Premiership games so far, scoring 24 and letting in 17. That has them 3rd on 20 points.

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, no draws and two defeats, at 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 2-1 to Falkirk away; before that came a 2-1 win at home to Dundee and a 3-1 win away at Hibernian.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. On the road they've won one of three recently (5 scored, 5 conceded).

Home and away form points to Hearts: Kilmarnock have won none of their last three at home, Hearts one of their last three on the road. 11 points separate the two sides in the table. Hearts also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Hearts clear favourites at 53%, with Kilmarnock on 24% and the draw at 23%.

On goals, it expects around 2.8 in the game: 1.3 for Kilmarnock and 1.6 for Hearts. Over 2.5 goals is 54% and both teams scoring 57%. When they last met, on 14 Mar 2026, Kilmarnock won 1-0.