Monastir vs Sarnese prediction

Monastir have won five, drawn two and lost three of their ten Serie D - Girone G games so far, scoring 25 and letting in 19. That has them 3rd on 17 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, two draws and two defeats, at 2.5 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 4-2 to Unipomezia away; before that came a 2-2 draw at home to Trastevere and a 3-2 defeat away at Certosa V. Campagnano.

Monastir haven't won in three. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. At home they've won one of three recently (6 scored, 5 conceded).

So far in the Serie D - Girone G, Sarnese have won seven, drawn two and lost one of ten, with 16 goals scored and 8 conceded, good for 1st place and 23 points.

Over the last six matches it has been four wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 1.5 goals for and 0.8 against. Last time out they beat Sarrabus Ogliastra 2-0 at home; before that came a 2-1 defeat away at Aranova and a 1-0 win at home to Città di Anagni.

They have scored in each of their last six. Three clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won one of three recently (4 scored, 4 conceded).

There isn't much between Monastir's home form and Sarnese's away form. Six points separate the two sides in the table.

We make Monastir favourites at 45%, with Sarnese on 31% and the draw at 25%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Monastir still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 3.1 in the game: 1.9 for Monastir and 1.3 for Sarnese. Over 2.5 goals is 59% and both teams scoring 57%.