Cagliari vs Frosinone prediction

So far in the Serie A, Cagliari have won four, drawn one and lost five of ten, with 9 goals scored and 15 conceded, good for 12th place and 13 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, one draw and four defeats, averaging 0.8 goals for and 2.2 against. Last time out they lost 2-1 to Lazio away; before that came a 4-2 defeat away at Roma and a 2-0 defeat at home to Bologna.

Cagliari haven't won in five. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last five. They failed to score in two of those games. At home they've won none of two recently (1 scored, 3 conceded).

Frosinone have won six, drawn two and lost two of their ten Serie A games so far, scoring 24 and letting in 14. That has them 6th on 20 points.

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, one draw and one defeat, at 2.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Torino 2-0 at home; before that came a 5-1 win at home to Lecce and a 4-4 draw away at Atalanta.

Frosinone are unbeaten in four. They have scored in each of their last four. On the road they've won none of two recently (4 scored, 7 conceded).

There isn't much between Cagliari's home form and Frosinone's away form. Seven points separate the two sides in the table. Frosinone also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Frosinone favourites at 42%, with Cagliari on 33% and the draw at 25%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.9 in the game: 1.1 for Cagliari and 1.8 for Frosinone. Over 2.5 goals is 55% and both teams scoring 55%. When they last met, on 21 Jan 2024, Frosinone won 3-1.