Mash'al vs Surkhon prediction

Mash'al have won one, drawn one and lost 24 of their 26 Super League games so far, scoring 12 and letting in 53. That has them 16th on 4 points.

Their last six in all competitions read no wins, no draws and six defeats, at 0.3 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 3-0 to Dinamo Samarqand at home; before that came a 2-1 defeat away at Bunyodkor and a 1-0 defeat at home to Olmaliq.

Mash'al haven't won in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in four of those games. At home they've won none of three recently (1 scored, 6 conceded).

So far in the Super League, Surkhon have won seven, drawn nine and lost ten of 26, with 20 goals scored and 29 conceded, good for 12th place and 30 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, four draws and one defeat, averaging 0.5 goals for and 0.5 against. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Nasaf; before that came a goalless draw away at Buxoro and a goalless draw at home to Xorazm.

Surkhon are unbeaten in five. Four clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. On the road they've won none of three recently (1 scored, 2 conceded).

Home and away form points to Surkhon: Mash'al have won none of their last three at home, Surkhon none of their last three on the road. 26 points separate the two sides in the table. Surkhon also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Surkhon clear favourites at 51%, with Mash'al on 22% and the draw at 26%.

On goals, it expects around 2.8 in the game: 0.8 for Mash'al and 2.0 for Surkhon. Over 2.5 goals is 52% and both teams scoring 47%. When they last met, on 22 Apr 2026, Surkhon won 2-1.