Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen prediction

Utrecht have won three, drawn three and lost five of their 11 Eredivisie games so far, scoring 19 and letting in 31. That has them 12th on 12 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, one draw and two defeats, at 1.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 4-2 to Telstar away; before that came a 1-0 win away at Kozakken Boys and a 1-1 draw at home to PEC Zwolle.

They have scored in each of their last five. At home they've won one of two recently (4 scored, 2 conceded).

So far in the Eredivisie, NEC Nijmegen have won two, drawn five and lost four of 11, with 17 goals scored and 19 conceded, good for 13th place and 11 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, four draws and one defeat, averaging 1.7 goals for and 1.5 against. Last time out they lost 1-0 to Heerenveen away; before that came a 2-2 draw at home to Groningen and a 4-2 win away at Dinamo Zagreb.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. On the road they've won one of three recently (5 scored, 4 conceded).

Home and away form points to Utrecht: Utrecht have won one of their last two at home, NEC Nijmegen one of their last three on the road. One point separates the two sides in the table. NEC Nijmegen also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Utrecht favourites at 41%, with NEC Nijmegen on 34% and the draw at 24%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 3.4 in the game: 1.7 for Utrecht and 1.6 for NEC Nijmegen. Over 2.5 goals is 63% and both teams scoring 63%. When they last met, on 11 Feb 2026, Utrecht won 3-1.