Girona vs Almeria prediction

So far in the Segunda Division, Girona have won six, drawn three and lost three of 12, with 22 goals scored and 11 conceded, good for 7th place and 21 points.

Over the last six matches it has been four wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 2.5 goals for and 0.7 against. Last time out they lost 1-0 to Sociedad B away; before that came a 2-0 win away at Cuarte and a 5-1 win at home to Celta.

Two clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won three of three recently (12 scored, 2 conceded).

Almeria have won eight, drawn two and lost two of their 12 Segunda Division games so far, scoring 23 and letting in 10. That has them 2nd on 26 points.

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, two draws and no defeats, at 2.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Eibar; before that came a 2-1 win away at Castellonense and a 2-2 draw at home to Oviedo.

Almeria are unbeaten in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. On the road they've won two of three recently (7 scored, 4 conceded).

Home and away form points to Girona: Girona have won three of their last three at home, Almeria two of their last three on the road. Five points separate the two sides in the table. Girona also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Girona favourites at 49%, with Almeria on 25% and the draw at 26%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.9 in the game: 1.8 for Girona and 1.1 for Almeria. Over 2.5 goals is 56% and both teams scoring 56%. Their last meeting, on 14 Jan 2024, finished 0-0.