Leeds United vs Manchester United prediction, 18 October 2026

Leeds United

Sunday, 18 October 2026

11Half time 0 : 1Premier League

Manchester United

Calvert-Lewin 51′

Mbeumo 35′

Match result

Pre-match prediction

Locked at kickoff

42.0%Leeds United

26.2%Draw

31.8%Manchester United

Double chance

Leeds United or draw68%

Either team wins74%

Manchester United or draw58%

1.4Leeds United2.9expected goals1.5Manchester United

Every market

All predictions

Total goals

LineOverUnder

0.594%6%

1.578%22%

2.555%45%

3.534%66%

4.519%81%

Both teams to score

Yes58%No42%

GG2+

No82%Yes18%

Team total goals

OverLeeds UnitedManchester United

0.576%76%

1.542%43%

2.519%20%

Clean sheet

Leeds United24%Manchester United24%

Win to nil

Leeds United21%Manchester United16%

Odd or even goals

Odd50%Even50%

Winning margin

Draw26%

WinsLeeds UnitedManchester United

by 122%16%

by 212%9%

by 3+8%7%

Total goal bands

0-1 goals22%2-3 goals44%4-5 goals25%6+ goals9%

Match preview · Premier League

Leeds United vs Manchester United: preview and prediction

18 Oct 2026 · 14:00Elland RoadDarren England

Leeds United welcome Manchester United to Elland Road in Leeds on Sunday 18 October, with kick-off at 14:00. It's matchday 7 in the Premier League. Leeds United go into it 12th in the table after nine games, with Manchester United 17th. Last time out Leeds United were beaten 2-1 at Arsenal, and Manchester United were beaten 2-0 at Atletico Madrid. Leeds United haven't lost any of their last three at home.

The forecast

42%Leeds United26%Draw32%Manchester United

Expected goals1.4-1.5Over 2.5 goals55%Both teams score58%

FormEvenHome and awayLeeds UnitedThe tableLeeds UnitedGoalsEvenHead to headManchester UnitedTeam newsLeeds United

Leeds United: form and key numbers

Leeds United have won two, drawn five and lost two of their nine Premier League games so far, scoring 9 and letting in 8. That has them 12th on 11 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, three draws and two defeats, at 1.7 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 2-1 to Arsenal away; before that came a goalless draw at home to Crystal Palace and a 4-1 win at home to Newcastle United.

At home they've won one of three recently (5 scored, 2 conceded). D. James (back injury), J. Rodon (muscle injury) and M. Joseph (knee injury) are all unavailable.

Leeds UnitedLast 6 · 1W 3D 2L

10 OctAArsenal1-2L
20 SeptHCrystal Palace0-0D
14 SeptHNewcastle United4-1W
9 SeptAChelsea3-6L
5 SeptABrighton & Hove Albion1-1D
30 AugHBrentford1-1D

1.7scored a game1.8conceded a game1.0points a game

At home · last 3DWD

Leeds United: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Manchester United: form and key numbers

So far in the Premier League, Manchester United have won one, drawn four and lost four of nine, with 10 goals scored and 15 conceded, good for 17th place and 7 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, two draws and three defeats, averaging 1.3 goals for and 1.3 against. Last time out they lost 2-0 to Atletico Madrid away; before that came a 1-1 draw at home to Tottenham Hotspur and a 1-1 draw away at Fulham.

Manchester United haven't won in five. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last five. They failed to score in two of those games. On the road they've won none of two recently (1 scored, 3 conceded). B. Sesko (leg injury), K. Mainoo (injury) and L. Shaw (injury), plus four others, are all unavailable.

Manchester UnitedLast 6 · 1W 2D 3L

13 OctAAtletico Madrid0-2L
10 OctHTottenham Hotspur1-1D
20 SeptAFulham1-1D
16 SeptHBrighton & Hove Albion2-3L
13 SeptHManchester City0-1L
10 SeptHSabah4-0W

1.3scored a game1.3conceded a game0.8points a game

Away · last 2LD

Manchester United: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Leeds United vs Manchester United: match analysis

Home and away form points to Leeds United: Leeds United have won one of their last three at home, Manchester United none of their last two on the road. Four points separate the two sides in the table.

The table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
11	Hull City	9	2	5	2	+1	11
12	Leeds United	9	2	5	2	+1	11
13	Newcastle United	9	3	2	4	-3	11
···
16	Coventry City	9	3	0	6	-7	9
17	Manchester United	9	1	4	4	-5	7
18	Crystal Palace	9	2	1	6	-12	7

We make Leeds United favourites at 42%, with Manchester United on 32% and the draw at 26%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

Goals, recent and expected

1.7Scored a game1.3
1.8Conceded a game1.3
1.4Expected here (xG)1.5

Over 1.578%Over 2.555%Over 3.534%Both score58%

On goals, it expects around 2.9 in the game: 1.4 for Leeds United and 1.5 for Manchester United. Over 2.5 goals is 55% and both teams scoring 58%. When they last met, on 13 Apr 2026, Leeds United won 2-1.

Last meetings