Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn prediction

So far in the Bundesliga, Borussia Dortmund have won five, drawn three and lost none of eight, with 14 goals scored and 6 conceded, good for 2nd place and 18 points.

Over the last six matches it has been five wins, no draws and one defeat, averaging 2.2 goals for and 1.2 against. Last time out they beat Villarreal 3-2 at home; before that came a 3-2 win away at Hoffenheim and a 2-0 win at home to Hamburger SV.

Borussia Dortmund are unbeaten in five. They have scored in each of their last five. Two clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won three of three recently (8 scored, 4 conceded).

SC Paderborn have won two, drawn three and lost three of their eight Bundesliga games so far, scoring 6 and letting in 9. That has them 14th on 9 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, two draws and three defeats, at 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 1-0 to Freiburg at home; before that came a goalless draw away at 1. FSV Mainz 05 and a 2-0 win away at Darmstadt.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won one of three recently (3 scored, 5 conceded).

Home and away form points to Borussia Dortmund: Borussia Dortmund have won three of their last three at home, SC Paderborn one of their last three on the road. Nine points separate the two sides in the table. Borussia Dortmund also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Borussia Dortmund clear favourites at 81%, with SC Paderborn on 6% and the draw at 13%.

On goals, it expects around 3.2 in the game: 2.3 for Borussia Dortmund and 0.9 for SC Paderborn. Over 2.5 goals is 62% and both teams scoring 52%. When they last met, on 31 May 2020, Borussia Dortmund won 6-1.