Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace prediction

Beşiktaş have won two, drawn one and lost none of their three UEFA Europa League games so far, scoring 9 and letting in 5. That has them 8th on 7 points.

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, no draws and two defeats, at 2.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 2-0 to Trabzonspor away; before that came a 3-2 win away at Hoffenheim and a 2-1 win at home to Kocaelispor.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last five. At home they've won three of three recently (9 scored, 2 conceded). C. Keles (off the roster), M. Rashica (muscle injury) and O. Kokcu (foot injury) are all unavailable.

So far in the UEFA Europa League, Crystal Palace have won one, drawn one and lost one of three, with 8 goals scored and 5 conceded, good for 15th place and 4 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, one draw and three defeats, averaging 1.5 goals for and 1.8 against. Last time out they lost 5-0 to Brighton & Hove Albion away; before that came a 3-2 defeat away at Lyon and a 3-1 win at home to Nottingham Forest.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. On the road they've won none of three recently (2 scored, 8 conceded). B. Chilwell (injury), C. Doucoure (off the roster) and C. Riad (knee injury), plus six others, are all unavailable.

Home and away form points to Beşiktaş: Beşiktaş have won three of their last three at home, Crystal Palace none of their last three on the road. Three points separate the two sides in the table. Beşiktaş also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Beşiktaş favourites at 49%, with Crystal Palace on 29% and the draw at 23%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 3.1 in the game: 2.0 for Beşiktaş and 1.1 for Crystal Palace. Over 2.5 goals is 61% and both teams scoring 59%.