Heracles vs Roda prediction

Heracles have won ten, drawn two and lost one of their 13 Eerste Divisie games so far, scoring 39 and letting in 14. That has them 1st on 32 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, two draws and one defeat, at 2.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Last time out they beat FC OSS 2-0 at home; before that came a 1-0 defeat away at De Treffers and a 1-1 draw away at NAC Breda.

Two clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won two of two recently (5 scored, 0 conceded).

So far in the Eerste Divisie, Roda have won seven, drawn four and lost two of 13, with 17 goals scored and 12 conceded, good for 4th place and 25 points.

Over the last six matches it has been four wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 1.5 goals for and 1.0 against. Last time out they beat Jong AZ 2-1 at home; before that came a 1-0 win at home to Graafschap and a 3-2 win away at Almere City.

Roda are unbeaten in four. They have scored in each of their last four. Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won one of two recently (3 scored, 4 conceded).

Home and away form points to Heracles: Heracles have won two of their last two at home, Roda one of their last two on the road. Seven points separate the two sides in the table. Heracles also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Heracles clear favourites at 56%, with Roda on 24% and the draw at 20%.

On goals, it expects around 3.6 in the game: 2.3 for Heracles and 1.4 for Roda. Over 2.5 goals is 68% and both teams scoring 62%. When they last met, on 2 Mar 2018, Heracles won 3-0.