Vasco da Gama vs Flamengo prediction

Vasco da Gama have won ten, drawn eight and lost 14 of their 32 Serie A games so far, scoring 40 and letting in 49. That has them 13th on 38 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, one draw and two defeats, at 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Corinthians 3-2 at home; before that came a 3-1 defeat at home to Boca Juniors and a 1-0 defeat away at Sao Paulo.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won one of three recently (4 scored, 5 conceded). A. Gomez (injury), Cauan Barros (inactive) and C. Cuesta (inactive), plus one other, are all unavailable.

So far in the Serie A, Flamengo have won 22, drawn seven and lost four of 33, with 68 goals scored and 28 conceded, good for 1st place and 73 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, three draws and no defeats, averaging 1.5 goals for and 0.7 against. Last time out they beat Atletico-MG 3-2 at home; before that came a goalless draw at home to Estudiantes L.P. and a 3-0 win away at Bahia.

Flamengo are unbeaten in six. Four clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won one of three recently (5 scored, 2 conceded). Danilo (jaw injury), Evertton Araujo (thigh injury) and J. Carrascal (yellow cards) are all unavailable.

There isn't much between Vasco da Gama's home form and Flamengo's away form. 35 points separate the two sides in the table. Flamengo also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Flamengo clear favourites at 51%, with Vasco da Gama on 23% and the draw at 25%.

On goals, it expects around 2.7 in the game: 1.1 for Vasco da Gama and 1.6 for Flamengo. Over 2.5 goals is 50% and both teams scoring 51%. Their last meeting, on 3 May 2026, finished 2-2.