Nardò vs Turris prediction

Nardò have won one, drawn three and lost six of their ten Serie D - Girone H games so far, scoring 8 and letting in 19. That has them 18th on 6 points.

Their last six in all competitions read no wins, one draw and five defeats, at 0.8 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 2-1 to Gladiator away; before that came a 3-1 defeat at home to Fidelis Andria and a 2-0 defeat away at Brindisi.

Nardò haven't won in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in two of those games. At home they've won none of three recently (2 scored, 7 conceded).

So far in the Serie D - Girone H, Turris have won five, drawn four and lost one of ten, with 16 goals scored and 9 conceded, good for 4th place and 19 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, three draws and one defeat, averaging 1.3 goals for and 0.8 against. Last time out they lost 2-1 to Virtus Francavilla at home; before that came a goalless draw at home to Certosa V. Campagnano and a 1-1 draw away at Real Normanna.

Turris haven't won in three. Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won one of three recently (4 scored, 3 conceded).

Home and away form points to Turris: Nardò have won none of their last three at home, Turris one of their last three on the road. 13 points separate the two sides in the table. Turris also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Turris favourites at 41%, with Nardò on 32% and the draw at 26%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.6 in the game: 1.1 for Nardò and 1.5 for Turris. Over 2.5 goals is 48% and both teams scoring 52%.