Bournemouth vs Sunderland prediction, 18 October 2026

Bournemouth

Sunday, 18 October 2026

20Half time 1 : 0Premier League

Sunderland

Tavernier 5′
Evanilson 48′

Match result

Pre-match prediction

Locked at kickoff

56.4%Bournemouth

22.5%Draw

21.1%Sunderland

Double chance

Bournemouth or draw79%

Either team wins78%

Sunderland or draw44%

2.0Bournemouth3.0expected goals1.0Sunderland

Every market

All predictions

Total goals

LineOverUnder

0.594%6%

1.579%21%

2.558%42%

3.537%63%

4.521%79%

Both teams to score

Yes53%No47%

GG2+

No84%Yes16%

Team total goals

OverBournemouthSunderland

0.585%63%

1.558%27%

2.534%9%

Clean sheet

Bournemouth37%Sunderland15%

Win to nil

Bournemouth31%Sunderland10%

Odd or even goals

Odd50%Even50%

Winning margin

Draw22%

WinsBournemouthSunderland

by 121%14%

by 216%5%

by 3+19%2%

Total goal bands

0-1 goals21%2-3 goals42%4-5 goals26%6+ goals11%

Match preview · Premier League

Bournemouth vs Sunderland: preview and prediction

18 Oct 2026 · 14:00Vitality StadiumCraig Pawson

Bournemouth welcome Sunderland to Vitality Stadium in Bournemouth on Sunday 18 October, with kick-off at 14:00. It's matchday 7 in the Premier League. Bournemouth go into it 8th in the table after nine games, with Sunderland 20th, 12 places lower. Last time out Bournemouth beat Sturm Graz 3-0 at home, and Sunderland won 2-1 away at Torreense.

The forecast

56%Bournemouth22%Draw21%Sunderland

Expected goals2.0-1.0Over 2.5 goals58%Both teams score53%

FormEvenHome and awayEvenThe tableBournemouthGoalsBournemouthHead to headEvenTeam newsEven

Bournemouth: form and key numbers

So far in the Premier League, Bournemouth have won three, drawn three and lost three of nine, with 14 goals scored and 13 conceded, good for 8th place and 12 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, one draw and two defeats, averaging 2.0 goals for and 1.5 against. Last time out they beat Sturm Graz 3-0 at home; before that came a 5-1 defeat away at Chelsea and a 1-0 defeat at home to Liverpool.

Two clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won two of four recently (9 scored, 3 conceded). A. Scott (thigh injury), E. J. Kroupi (foot injury) and J. Araujo (thigh injury), plus one other, are all unavailable.

BournemouthLast 6 · 3W 1D 2L

15 OctHSturm Graz3-0W
10 OctAChelsea1-5L
20 SeptHLiverpool0-1L
17 SeptAReal Sociedad2-1W
12 SeptHBrentford2-2D
8 SeptHLincoln4-0W

2.0scored a game1.5conceded a game1.7points a game

At home · last 4WLDW

Bournemouth: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Sunderland: form and key numbers

Sunderland have won one, drawn two and lost six of their nine Premier League games so far, scoring 7 and letting in 17. That has them 20th on 5 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, no draws and three defeats, at 1.2 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Torreense 2-1 away; before that came a 2-0 defeat at home to Brighton & Hove Albion and a 5-3 defeat away at Manchester City.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won one of two recently (5 scored, 6 conceded). D. Ballard (muscle injury), R. Mundle (knee injury) and T. Meunier (muscle injury), plus one other, are all unavailable.

SunderlandLast 6 · 3W 0D 3L

15 OctATorreense2-1W
10 OctHBrighton & Hove Albion0-2L
20 SeptAManchester City3-5L
16 SeptHAZ Alkmaar1-0W
12 SeptHArsenal0-2L
8 SeptHHull1-0W

1.2scored a game1.7conceded a game1.5points a game

Away · last 2WL

Sunderland: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Bournemouth vs Sunderland: match analysis

There isn't much between Bournemouth's home form and Sunderland's away form. Seven points separate the two sides in the table. Bournemouth also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

The table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
7	Everton	9	3	4	2	0	13
8	Bournemouth	9	3	3	3	+1	12
9	Tottenham Hotspur	9	3	3	3	0	12
···
19	Nottingham Forest	9	1	3	5	-6	6
20	Sunderland	9	1	2	6	-10	5

We make Bournemouth clear favourites at 56%, with Sunderland on 21% and the draw at 22%.

Goals, recent and expected

2.0Scored a game1.2
1.5Conceded a game1.7
2.0Expected here (xG)1.0

Over 1.579%Over 2.558%Over 3.537%Both score53%

On goals, it expects around 3.0 in the game: 2.0 for Bournemouth and 1.0 for Sunderland. Over 2.5 goals is 58% and both teams scoring 53%. Their last meeting, on 28 Feb 2026, finished 1-1.

Last meetings