Treviso vs Novara prediction

Treviso have won five, drawn four and lost three of their 12 Serie C - Girone A games so far, scoring 12 and letting in 9. That has them 6th on 19 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, one draw and two defeats, at 0.8 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 1-0 to Cittadella away; before that came a 2-1 win at home to Dolomiti Bellunesi and a 2-0 win away at Folgore Caratese.

Three clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. At home they've won one of three recently (2 scored, 2 conceded).

So far in the Serie C - Girone A, Novara have won three, drawn four and lost five of 12, with 11 goals scored and 16 conceded, good for 13th place and 13 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, one draw and three defeats, averaging 0.8 goals for and 1.5 against. Last time out they beat Desenzano Calvina 1-0 at home; before that came a 2-0 defeat away at Arzignano Valchiampo and a 2-2 draw away at Albinoleffe.

They failed to score in three of those games. On the road they've won one of three recently (4 scored, 5 conceded).

There isn't much between Treviso's home form and Novara's away form. Six points separate the two sides in the table. Treviso also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Treviso favourites at 41%, with Novara on 25% and the draw at 34%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.3 in the game: 1.2 for Treviso and 1.1 for Novara. Over 2.5 goals is 41% and both teams scoring 47%.