Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town prediction

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, one draw and two defeats, averaging 1.3 goals for and 1.7 against. Last time out they beat Wimborne Town 2-1 at home; before that came a 3-1 defeat away at Chichester City and a 2-1 win at home to Uxbridge.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. At home they've won three of four recently (6 scored, 6 conceded).

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, two draws and one defeat, at 1.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Hanwell Town; before that came a 2-2 draw at home to Chippenham Town and a 2-0 win away at Bracknell Town.

Chertsey Town are unbeaten in four. They have scored in each of their last six. Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won three of four recently (8 scored, 3 conceded).

There isn't much between Plymouth Parkway's home form and Chertsey Town's away form. Chertsey Town also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Plymouth Parkway favourites at 53%, with Chertsey Town on 28% and the draw at 19%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Plymouth Parkway still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 3.2 in the game: 1.9 for Plymouth Parkway and 1.3 for Chertsey Town. Over 2.5 goals is 62% and both teams scoring 61%. When they last met, on 1 Feb 2025, Plymouth Parkway won 2-1.