Sassuolo vs Fiorentina prediction, 2 November 2026

Sassuolo

Monday, 2 November 2026

17:30Serie A

Fiorentina

Match result

Who wins?

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Double chance

1.4Sassuolo2.8expected goals1.4Fiorentina

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Total goals

LineOverUnder

0.5

1.5

2.5

3.5

4.5

Both teams to score

GG2+

No84%

Team total goals

OverSassuoloFiorentina

0.5

1.5

2.5

Clean sheet

Win to nil

Odd or even goals

Winning margin

WinsSassuoloFiorentina

by 1

by 2

by 3+

Total goal bands

0-1 goals24%2-3 goals46%4-5 goals23%6+ goals6%

Match preview · Serie A

Sassuolo vs Fiorentina: preview and prediction

2 Nov 2026 · 17:30Mapei Stadium – Città del TricoloreMatteo Marcenaro

Sassuolo welcome Fiorentina to Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore in Reggio Emilia on Monday 2 November, with kick-off at 17:30. It's matchday 10 in the Serie A. Sassuolo go into it 15th in the table after nine games, with Fiorentina 17th. Last time out Sassuolo lost 6-2 at home to Lazio, and Fiorentina drew 2-2 at home with Atalanta.

The forecast

35%Sassuolo26%Draw39%Fiorentina

Expected goals1.4-1.4Over 2.5 goals51%Both teams score55%

FormEvenHome and awaySassuoloThe tableSassuoloGoalsFiorentinaHead to headEvenTeam newsEven

Sassuolo: form and key numbers

So far in the Serie A, Sassuolo have won two, drawn two and lost five of nine, with 14 goals scored and 22 conceded, good for 15th place and 8 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, one draw and four defeats, averaging 1.5 goals for and 2.8 against. Last time out they lost 6-2 to Lazio at home; before that came a 2-0 defeat away at Como and a 4-2 defeat away at Frosinone.

Sassuolo haven't won in five. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. At home they've won one of three recently (6 scored, 9 conceded). D. Boloca (muscle injury), F. Leysen (knee injury) and I. Kone (broken leg), plus two others, are all unavailable.

SassuoloLast 6 · 1W 1D 4L

27 OctHLazio2-6L
24 OctAComo0-2L
16 OctAFrosinone2-4L
11 OctHAC Milan1-1D
18 SeptAMonza1-2L
13 SeptHJuventus3-2W

1.5scored a game2.8conceded a game0.7points a game

At home · last 3LDW

Sassuolo: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Fiorentina: form and key numbers

Fiorentina have won one, drawn two and lost six of their nine Serie A games so far, scoring 11 and letting in 21. That has them 17th on 5 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, two draws and three defeats, at 1.5 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 2-2 with Atalanta; before that came a 2-1 defeat away at Inter Milan and a 3-1 defeat at home to Como.

Fiorentina haven't won in five. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last five. On the road they've won none of two recently (2 scored, 4 conceded). A. Atta (abdominal strain), F. Parisi (knee injury) and L. Ranieri (leg injury), plus two others, are all unavailable.

FiorentinaLast 6 · 1W 2D 3L

29 OctHAtalanta2-2D
25 OctAInter Milan1-2L
18 OctHComo1-3L
10 OctAGenoa1-2L
20 SeptHNapoli1-1D
15 SeptHPisa3-0W

1.5scored a game1.7conceded a game0.8points a game

Away · last 2LL

Fiorentina: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Sassuolo vs Fiorentina: match analysis

Home and away form points to Sassuolo: Sassuolo have won one of their last three at home, Fiorentina none of their last two on the road. Three points separate the two sides in the table. Fiorentina also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

The table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
14	Lecce	10	3	0	7	-10	9
15	Sassuolo	9	2	2	5	-8	8
16	Monza	10	2	1	7	-7	7
17	Fiorentina	9	1	2	6	-10	5
18	Parma	9	1	2	6	-10	5

We make Fiorentina favourites at 39%, with Sassuolo on 35% and the draw at 26%. In truth there's very little in it.

Goals, recent and expected

1.5Scored a game1.5
2.8Conceded a game1.7
1.4Expected here (xG)1.4

Over 1.576%Over 2.551%Over 3.529%Both score55%

On goals, it expects around 2.8 in the game: 1.4 for Sassuolo and 1.4 for Fiorentina. Over 2.5 goals is 51% and both teams scoring 55%. Their last meeting, on 26 Apr 2026, finished 0-0.

Last meetings