Florgrade vs Ovarense prediction

So far in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B, Florgrade have won three, drawn two and lost two of seven, with 7 goals scored and 7 conceded, good for 4th place and 11 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, one draw and two defeats, averaging 1.2 goals for and 1.2 against. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Castro Daire; before that came a 2-0 win at home to Cinfães and a 2-1 defeat at home to Portimonense.

Three clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won two of three recently (5 scored, 2 conceded).

Ovarense have won six, drawn one and lost none of their seven Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B games so far, scoring 14 and letting in 3. That has them 1st on 19 points.

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, one draw and one defeat, at 1.8 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Alpendorada 2-1 at home; before that came a 2-0 win away at Salgueiros and a 2-2 draw at home to Beira Mar.

Ovarense are unbeaten in three. Three clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won two of two recently (5 scored, 0 conceded).

Home and away form points to Ovarense: Florgrade have won two of their last three at home, Ovarense two of their last two on the road. Eight points separate the two sides in the table. Ovarense also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Florgrade favourites at 35%, with Ovarense on 32% and the draw at 33%. In truth there's very little in it.

On goals, it expects around 2.4 in the game: 1.1 for Florgrade and 1.3 for Ovarense. Over 2.5 goals is 44% and both teams scoring 50%.