Lucchese vs San Donato Tavarnelle prediction

So far in the Serie D - Girone E, Lucchese have won four, drawn three and lost three of ten, with 21 goals scored and 19 conceded, good for 10th place and 15 points.

Over the last six matches it has been no wins, four draws and two defeats, averaging 1.2 goals for and 1.7 against. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Sestri Levante; before that came a 3-2 defeat away at Terranuova Traiana and a 1-1 draw at home to Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano.

Lucchese haven't won in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. At home they've won none of three recently (4 scored, 4 conceded).

San Donato Tavarnelle have won four, drawn two and lost four of their ten Serie D - Girone E games so far, scoring 11 and letting in 12. That has them 11th on 14 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, one draw and three defeats, at 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Montevarchi Calcio 1-0 at home; before that came a 2-1 defeat away at Scandicci and a 1-0 win at home to Tau Altopascio.

Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won none of three recently (2 scored, 6 conceded).

Home and away form points to Lucchese: Lucchese have won none of their last three at home, San Donato Tavarnelle none of their last three on the road. One point separates the two sides in the table.

We make Lucchese favourites at 51%, with San Donato Tavarnelle on 23% and the draw at 27%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.7 in the game: 1.7 for Lucchese and 1.0 for San Donato Tavarnelle. Over 2.5 goals is 51% and both teams scoring 52%.