Bolton vs Bristol City prediction

So far in the Championship, Bolton have won five, drawn two and lost seven of 14, with 19 goals scored and 26 conceded, good for 16th place and 17 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, one draw and two defeats, averaging 1.7 goals for and 1.8 against. Last time out they lost 5-1 to Middlesbrough at home; before that came a goalless draw away at Southampton and a 3-1 win away at Wolverhampton Wanderers.

Two clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won one of three recently (3 scored, 7 conceded). C. Forino-Joseph (groin injury), E. Erhahon (thigh injury) and J. McAtee (knee injury), plus two others, are all unavailable.

Bristol City have won five, drawn three and lost five of their 13 Championship games so far, scoring 15 and letting in 17. That has them 15th on 18 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, two draws and two defeats, at 0.7 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by Stoke; before that came a 1-0 defeat at home to Sheffield United and a 1-0 defeat at home to Blackburn.

Bristol City haven't won in four. Three clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. On the road they've won one of three recently (3 scored, 1 conceded). E. Adebayo (inactive), L. Tolaj (health problems) and N. Eile (illness), plus one other, are all unavailable.

Home and away form points to Bristol City: Bolton have won one of their last three at home, Bristol City one of their last three on the road. One point separates the two sides in the table.

We make Bristol City favourites at 39%, with Bolton on 33% and the draw at 28%. In truth there's very little in it.

On goals, it expects around 2.8 in the game: 1.3 for Bolton and 1.5 for Bristol City. Over 2.5 goals is 52% and both teams scoring 55%. When they last met, on 12 Jan 2019, Bristol City won 2-1.