Real Madrid vs Sevilla prediction, 18 October 2026

Real Madrid

Sunday, 18 October 2026

41Half time 2 : 0La Liga

Sevilla

Guler 30′
Mbappe 37′
Mbappe (P) 63′
Diomande 82′

Bueno 80′

Match result

Pre-match prediction

Locked at kickoff

80.7%Real Madrid

13.3%Draw

6.0%Sevilla

Double chance

Real Madrid or draw94%

Either team wins87%

Sevilla or draw19%

3.0Real Madrid3.7expected goals0.7Sevilla

Every market

All predictions

Total goals

LineOverUnder

0.597%3%

1.587%13%

2.571%29%

3.551%49%

4.534%66%

Both teams to score

Yes52%No48%

GG2+

No86%Yes14%

Team total goals

OverReal MadridSevilla

0.594%55%

1.577%18%

2.555%5%

Clean sheet

Real Madrid45%Sevilla6%

Win to nil

Real Madrid43%Sevilla3%

Odd or even goals

Odd50%Even50%

Winning margin

Draw13%

WinsReal MadridSevilla

by 119%5%

by 220%1%

by 3+42%0%

Total goal bands

0-1 goals13%2-3 goals36%4-5 goals31%6+ goals21%

Match preview · La Liga

Real Madrid vs Sevilla: preview and prediction

18 Oct 2026 · 20:00Santiago Bernabéu StadiumMateo Busquets Ferrer

Real Madrid welcome Sevilla to Santiago Bernabéu Stadium in Madrid on Sunday 18 October, with kick-off at 20:00. It's matchday 9 in the La Liga. Real Madrid go into it 3rd in the table after 11 games, with Sevilla 6th. Last time out Real Madrid won 4-3 away at Roma, and Sevilla drew 3-3 at Levante.

The forecast

81%Real Madrid13%Draw6%Sevilla

Expected goals3.0-0.7Over 2.5 goals71%Both teams score52%

FormReal MadridHome and awayReal MadridThe tableReal MadridGoalsReal MadridHead to headReal MadridTeam newsEven

Real Madrid: form and key numbers

So far in the La Liga, Real Madrid have won nine, drawn none and lost two of 11, with 28 goals scored and 10 conceded, good for 3rd place and 27 points.

Over the last six matches it has been four wins, no draws and two defeats, averaging 2.2 goals for and 1.7 against. Last time out they beat Roma 4-3 away; before that came a 1-0 win at home to Villarreal and a 2-0 defeat away at Atletico Madrid.

At home they've won two of two recently (5 scored, 1 conceded). Eder Militao (hamstring injury), F. Mendy (hip injury) and R. Asencio (broken leg), plus two others, are all unavailable.

Real MadridLast 6 · 4W 0D 2L

14 OctARoma4-3W
10 OctHVillarreal1-0W
27 SeptAAtletico Madrid0-2L
20 SeptAAtletico Madrid1-2L
15 SeptAElche3-2W
12 SeptHVallecano4-1W

2.2scored a game1.7conceded a game2.0points a game

At home · last 2WW

Real Madrid: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Sevilla: form and key numbers

Sevilla have won five, drawn two and lost four of their 11 La Liga games so far, scoring 17 and letting in 19. That has them 6th on 17 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, two draws and two defeats, at 1.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 3-3 with Levante; before that came a 3-1 defeat at home to Aston Villa and a 3-1 defeat at home to Barcelona.

Sevilla haven't won in three. They have scored in each of their last six. Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won one of three recently (5 scored, 4 conceded). G. Kochorashvili (injury), I. Romero (red card) and J. Guridi (muscle injury), plus two others, are all unavailable.

SevillaLast 6 · 2W 2D 2L

12 OctALevante3-3D
2 OctHAston Villa1-3L
19 SeptHBarcelona1-3L
16 SeptADeportivo La Coruna1-0W
11 SeptHValencia1-0W
6 SeptAEspanyol1-1D

1.3scored a game1.7conceded a game1.3points a game

Away · last 3DWD

Sevilla: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Real Madrid vs Sevilla: match analysis

Home and away form points to Real Madrid: Real Madrid have won two of their last two at home, Sevilla one of their last three on the road. Ten points separate the two sides in the table. Real Madrid also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

The table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
2	Atleti	11	9	1	1	+14	28
3	Real Madrid	11	9	0	2	+18	27
4	Real Betis	11	7	2	2	+3	23
5	Real Sociedad	11	6	1	4	0	19
6	Sevilla	11	5	2	4	-2	17
7	Athletic	10	4	3	3	+4	15

We make Real Madrid clear favourites at 81%, with Sevilla on 6% and the draw at 13%.

Goals, recent and expected

2.2Scored a game1.3
1.7Conceded a game1.7
3.0Expected here (xG)0.7

Over 1.587%Over 2.571%Over 3.551%Both score52%

On goals, it expects around 3.7 in the game: 3.0 for Real Madrid and 0.7 for Sevilla. Over 2.5 goals is 71% and both teams scoring 52%. When they last met, on 17 May 2026, Real Madrid won 1-0.

Last meetings