Hull City vs Brentford prediction

Hull City have won two, drawn five and lost two of their nine Premier League games so far, scoring 11 and letting in 10. That has them 11th on 11 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, one draw and four defeats, at 1.2 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 2-1 to Carlisle at home; before that came a 1-0 defeat away at Fulham and a 2-2 draw at home to Everton.

Hull City haven't won in five. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in three of those games. At home they've won none of three recently (3 scored, 6 conceded). C. Hughes (groin injury), D. Gyabi (groin injury) and E. Matazo (knee injury), plus four others, are all unavailable.

So far in the Premier League, Brentford have won three, drawn five and lost one of nine, with 16 goals scored and 9 conceded, good for 6th place and 14 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, three draws and one defeat, averaging 1.8 goals for and 1.3 against. Last time out they lost 2-1 to Liverpool at home; before that came a 2-2 draw away at Aston Villa and a 3-0 win at home to Chelsea.

They have scored in each of their last six. On the road they've won one of three recently (6 scored, 5 conceded). A. Milambo (knock), J. Dasilva (muscle injury) and K. Furo (surgery), plus two others, are all unavailable.

Home and away form points to Brentford: Hull City have won none of their last three at home, Brentford one of their last three on the road. Three points separate the two sides in the table. Brentford also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Brentford clear favourites at 64%, with Hull City on 16% and the draw at 21%.

On goals, it expects around 3.0 in the game: 0.9 for Hull City and 2.1 for Brentford. Over 2.5 goals is 58% and both teams scoring 52%. When they last met, on 1 Feb 2020, Brentford won 5-1.