Alverca vs Rio Ave prediction

So far in the Primeira Liga, Alverca have won three, drawn two and lost five of ten, with 13 goals scored and 14 conceded, good for 10th place and 11 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, two draws and three defeats, averaging 1.3 goals for and 1.8 against. Last time out they beat Nacional 3-1 away; before that came a 2-1 defeat at home to Sp Braga and a 1-1 draw at home to Santa Clara.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. At home they've won none of three recently (4 scored, 5 conceded).

Rio Ave have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their ten Primeira Liga games so far, scoring 9 and letting in 23. That has them 16th on 7 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, one draw and four defeats, at 0.8 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 3-3 with Estrela; before that came a 4-0 defeat away at Santa Clara and a 4-0 defeat at home to Sp Lisbon.

Rio Ave haven't won in three. They failed to score in four of those games. On the road they've won one of three recently (2 scored, 5 conceded).

There isn't much between Alverca's home form and Rio Ave's away form. Four points separate the two sides in the table. Alverca also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Alverca favourites at 48%, with Rio Ave on 23% and the draw at 30%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.6 in the game: 1.6 for Alverca and 1.1 for Rio Ave. Over 2.5 goals is 48% and both teams scoring 51%. When they last met, on 4 Apr 2026, Alverca won 2-1.