Real Normanna vs L'Aquila prediction

Their last six in all competitions read one win, three draws and two defeats, at 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Turris; before that came a 3-3 draw away at Gladiator and a 1-0 defeat at home to Fidelis Andria.

Real Normanna haven't won in five. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last five. They failed to score in two of those games. At home they've won one of three recently (2 scored, 2 conceded).

Over the last six matches it has been six wins, no draws and no defeats, averaging 3.0 goals for and 1.2 against. Last time out they beat Foligno Calcio 3-2 at home; before that came a 3-2 win away at Recanatese and a 2-1 win at home to Santegidiese.

L'Aquila are unbeaten in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won two of two recently (6 scored, 2 conceded).

Home and away form points to L'Aquila: Real Normanna have won one of their last three at home, L'Aquila two of their last two on the road. L'Aquila also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Real Normanna favourites at 40%, with L'Aquila on 30% and the draw at 30%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Real Normanna still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.6 in the game: 1.3 for Real Normanna and 1.3 for L'Aquila. Over 2.5 goals is 49% and both teams scoring 51%.