Oxford United vs Cheltenham prediction

So far in the EFL Trophy, Oxford United have won none, drawn one and lost none of one, with 2 goals scored and 2 conceded, good for 3rd place and 1 point.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, two draws and one defeat, averaging 1.0 goals for and 0.5 against. Last time out they lost 1-0 to Stevenage at home; before that came a 2-0 win at home to Reading and a 1-1 draw away at Barnsley.

Three clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won three of five recently (5 scored, 2 conceded).

Cheltenham have won none, drawn two and lost none of their two EFL Trophy games so far, scoring 4 and letting in 4. That has them 2nd on 4 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, one draw and two defeats, at 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Halifax 2-0 at home; before that came a 3-1 defeat away at Tranmere and a 1-0 win at home to Newport County.

They have scored in each of their last six. Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won none of two recently (2 scored, 7 conceded).

Home and away form points to Oxford United: Oxford United have won three of their last five at home, Cheltenham none of their last two on the road. Three points separate the two sides in the table. Oxford United also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Oxford United clear favourites at 81%, with Cheltenham on 7% and the draw at 12%.

On goals, it expects around 3.7 in the game: 2.7 for Oxford United and 1.0 for Cheltenham. Over 2.5 goals is 70% and both teams scoring 55%. When they last met, on 9 Mar 2024, Oxford won 2-1.