Alpendorada vs Casa Pia prediction, 18 October 2026

Alpendorada

Sunday, 18 October 2026

01Half time 0 : 0Taça de Portugal

Casa Pia

Perez 72′

Match result

Pre-match prediction

Locked at kickoff

55.2%Alpendorada

18.1%Draw

26.8%Casa Pia

Double chance

Alpendorada or draw73%

Either team wins82%

Casa Pia or draw45%

2.0Alpendorada3.3expected goals1.3Casa Pia

Every market

All predictions

Total goals

LineOverUnder

0.593%7%

1.578%22%

2.557%43%

3.538%62%

4.523%77%

Both teams to score

Yes52%No48%

GG2+

No82%Yes18%

Team total goals

OverAlpendoradaCasa Pia

0.581%64%

1.554%34%

2.531%14%

Clean sheet

Alpendorada36%Casa Pia19%

Win to nil

Alpendorada28%Casa Pia13%

Odd or even goals

Odd49%Even51%

Winning margin

Draw18%

WinsAlpendoradaCasa Pia

by 122%15%

by 218%8%

by 3+16%4%

Total goal bands

0-1 goals22%2-3 goals40%4-5 goals26%6+ goals12%

Match preview · Taça de Portugal

Alpendorada vs Casa Pia: preview and prediction

18 Oct 2026 · 14:00Municipal Stadium Alpendorada

Alpendorada welcome Casa Pia to Municipal Stadium Alpendorada on Sunday 18 October, with kick-off at 14:00. Last time out Alpendorada drew 0-0 at Cinfães, and Casa Pia lost 1-0 at home to Santa Clara.

The forecast

55%Alpendorada18%Draw27%Casa Pia

Expected goals2.0-1.3Over 2.5 goals57%Both teams score52%

FormAlpendoradaHome and awayEvenGoalsAlpendorada

Alpendorada: form and key numbers

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, one draw and three defeats, at 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by Cinfães; before that came a 3-0 win at home to Mação and a 2-1 defeat at home to Machico.

Three clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won one of three recently (5 scored, 4 conceded).

AlpendoradaLast 6 · 2W 1D 3L

11 OctACinfães0-0D
20 SeptHMação3-0W
13 SeptHMachico1-2L
6 SeptASanjoanense1-3L
23 AugHCamacha1-2L
16 AugAGuarda1-0W

1.2scored a game1.2conceded a game1.2points a game

At home · last 3WLL

Alpendorada: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Casa Pia: form and key numbers

Over the last six matches it has been one win, one draw and four defeats, averaging 0.5 goals for and 1.5 against. Last time out they lost 1-0 to Santa Clara at home; before that came a 2-1 win away at Estoril and a 4-1 defeat at home to Porto.

They failed to score in four of those games. On the road they've won one of three recently (2 scored, 3 conceded).

Casa PiaLast 6 · 1W 1D 4L

10 OctHSanta Clara0-1L
20 SeptAEstoril2-1W
12 SeptHPorto1-4L
6 SeptAGuimaraes0-0D
30 AugHMoreirense0-1L
24 AugAGil Vicente0-2L

0.5scored a game1.5conceded a game0.7points a game

Away · last 3WDL

Casa Pia: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Alpendorada vs Casa Pia: match analysis

There isn't much between Alpendorada's home form and Casa Pia's away form. Alpendorada also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Alpendorada clear favourites at 55%, with Casa Pia on 27% and the draw at 18%.

Goals, recent and expected

1.2Scored a game0.5
1.2Conceded a game1.5
2.0Expected here (xG)1.3

Over 1.578%Over 2.557%Over 3.538%Both score52%

On goals, it expects around 3.3 in the game: 2.0 for Alpendorada and 1.3 for Casa Pia. Over 2.5 goals is 57% and both teams scoring 52%.

Punt-X prediction

Over 2.5 goals57%

Their recent games have averaged 2.2 goals.

Every market at a glance

ResultAlpendorada win55%
Double chanceEither team wins82%
GoalsOver 2.557%
Both teams to scoreYes52%
Clean sheetAlpendorada36%
CornersAlpendorada 6.0 · Casa Pia 4.210.2 expected
Cards4.2 yellows expectedRed 34%

Frequently asked questions

Alpendorada vs Casa Pia

Alpendorada vs Casa Pia prediction