Toulouse vs Strasbourg prediction

Toulouse have won two, drawn four and lost three of their nine Ligue 1 games so far, scoring 12 and letting in 13. That has them 12th on 10 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, two draws and two defeats, at 1.7 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 2-0 to Marseille away; before that came a goalless draw at home to Troyes and a 3-0 win away at Le Mans.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won one of three recently (5 scored, 5 conceded).

So far in the Ligue 1, Strasbourg have won three, drawn one and lost five of nine, with 17 goals scored and 19 conceded, good for 13th place and 10 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, one draw and four defeats, averaging 1.5 goals for and 2.0 against. Last time out they beat Auxerre 5-1 at home; before that came a 3-0 defeat away at Rennes and a 3-1 defeat at home to Paris Saint-Germain.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. On the road they've won none of three recently (2 scored, 7 conceded).

Home and away form points to Toulouse: Toulouse have won one of their last three at home, Strasbourg none of their last three on the road. The two sides are level on points. Toulouse also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Toulouse favourites at 45%, with Strasbourg on 30% and the draw at 25%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.9 in the game: 1.5 for Toulouse and 1.4 for Strasbourg. Over 2.5 goals is 53% and both teams scoring 55%. When they last met, on 3 May 2026, Toulouse won 2-1.