Aigle Noir vs Never Give Up Academy prediction

Aigle Noir have won three, drawn three and lost four of their ten Ligue A games so far, scoring 12 and letting in 12. That has them 10th on 12 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, two draws and three defeats, at 0.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 1-0 to Muzinga away; before that came a 1-0 defeat at home to Bumamuru and a 1-0 defeat away at Rukinzo.

Aigle Noir haven't won in five. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in three of those games. At home they've won one of three recently (3 scored, 3 conceded).

So far in the Ligue A, Never Give Up Academy have won four, drawn two and lost four of ten, with 10 goals scored and 11 conceded, good for 8th place and 14 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, two draws and one defeat, averaging 1.3 goals for and 0.8 against. Last time out they beat Kayanza United 2-0 at home; before that came a 2-1 win away at Ngozi City and a 2-1 win at home to Vital'O.

Never Give Up Academy are unbeaten in five. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won one of three recently (2 scored, 2 conceded).

There isn't much between Aigle Noir's home form and Never Give Up Academy's away form. Two points separate the two sides in the table. Never Give Up Academy also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Aigle Noir favourites at 40%, with Never Give Up Academy on 31% and the draw at 30%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Aigle Noir still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.6 in the game: 1.3 for Aigle Noir and 1.2 for Never Give Up Academy. Over 2.5 goals is 46% and both teams scoring 51%.