Paris Saint-Germain vs Olympique Lyon prediction

Paris Saint-Germain have won six, drawn two and lost one of their nine Ligue 1 games so far, scoring 21 and letting in 10. That has them 1st on 20 points.

Their last six in all competitions read six wins, no draws and no defeats, at 2.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Barcelona 4-2 at home; before that came a 3-1 win away at Strasbourg and a 4-2 win away at Manchester City.

Paris Saint-Germain are unbeaten in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last five. At home they've won two of two recently (7 scored, 3 conceded). A. Longoni (injury), K. Kvaratskhelia (knee injury) and Marquinhos (thigh injury), plus two others, are all unavailable.

So far in the Ligue 1, Olympique Lyon have won five, drawn two and lost two of nine, with 15 goals scored and 7 conceded, good for 3rd place and 17 points.

Over the last six matches it has been four wins, no draws and two defeats, averaging 2.0 goals for and 1.5 against. Last time out they lost 3-0 to Hoffenheim away; before that came a 2-1 win at home to Nice and a 3-2 win at home to Crystal Palace.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. On the road they've won one of three recently (3 scored, 6 conceded). A. Hamdani (inactive), L. Openda (leg injury) and M. Ouedraogo (knee injury), plus two others, are all unavailable.

Home and away form points to Paris Saint-Germain: Paris Saint-Germain have won two of their last two at home, Olympique Lyon one of their last three on the road. Three points separate the two sides in the table. Paris Saint-Germain also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Paris Saint-Germain clear favourites at 74%, with Olympique Lyon on 10% and the draw at 16%.

On goals, it expects around 3.6 in the game: 2.8 for Paris Saint-Germain and 0.8 for Olympique Lyon. Over 2.5 goals is 69% and both teams scoring 55%. When they last met, on 19 Apr 2026, Lyon won 2-1.