CA River Plate vs Tacuarembo prediction

So far in the Segunda División, CA River Plate have won ten, drawn eight and lost 13 of 31, with 43 goals scored and 45 conceded, good for 11th place and 38 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, one draw and three defeats, averaging 1.7 goals for and 1.3 against. Last time out they lost 2-1 to Uruguay Montevideo at home; before that came a 2-1 defeat away at Plaza Colonia and a goalless draw away at Boston River.

CA River Plate haven't won in three. Two clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won two of three recently (7 scored, 3 conceded).

Tacuarembo have won six, drawn 11 and lost 14 of their 31 Segunda División games so far, scoring 24 and letting in 37. That has them 14th on 29 points.

Their last six in all competitions read no wins, three draws and three defeats, at 0.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Plaza Colonia; before that came a 1-0 defeat at home to La Luz and a 2-1 defeat away at Cerrito.

Tacuarembo haven't won in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in two of those games. On the road they've won none of three recently (4 scored, 5 conceded).

Home and away form points to CA River Plate: CA River Plate have won two of their last three at home, Tacuarembo none of their last three on the road. Nine points separate the two sides in the table. CA River Plate also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make CA River Plate favourites at 53%, with Tacuarembo on 18% and the draw at 29%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.6 in the game: 1.7 for CA River Plate and 0.9 for Tacuarembo. Over 2.5 goals is 48% and both teams scoring 48%.