Southampton vs Portsmouth prediction

Southampton have won eight, drawn three and lost two of their 13 Championship games so far, scoring 28 and letting in 13. That has them 5th on 23 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, two draws and one defeat, at 2.5 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 2-1 to Wrexham away; before that came a 4-1 win at home to Bristol City and a 3-1 win at home to Swansea.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. At home they've won three of three recently (12 scored, 3 conceded).

So far in the Championship, Portsmouth have won five, drawn four and lost four of 13, with 16 goals scored and 15 conceded, good for 11th place and 19 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, two draws and two defeats, averaging 1.3 goals for and 1.2 against. Last time out they drew 2-2 with Blackburn; before that came a goalless draw away at Charlton and a 2-0 win at home to Cardiff.

Portsmouth are unbeaten in three. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won one of three recently (4 scored, 3 conceded).

Home and away form points to Southampton: Southampton have won three of their last three at home, Portsmouth one of their last three on the road. Four points separate the two sides in the table. Southampton also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Southampton clear favourites at 59%, with Portsmouth on 19% and the draw at 22%.

On goals, it expects around 3.4 in the game: 2.3 for Southampton and 1.1 for Portsmouth. Over 2.5 goals is 65% and both teams scoring 59%. Their last meeting, on 25 Jan 2026, finished 1-1.