Inter Miami vs New York City prediction

Inter Miami have won 16, drawn 11 and lost six of their 33 Major League Soccer games so far, scoring 77 and letting in 56. That has them 2nd on 59 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, three draws and one defeat, at 2.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Last time out they beat DC United 4-0 at home; before that came a 2-1 defeat away at Columbus Crew and a 2-2 draw at home to San Diego FC.

They have scored in each of their last six. Two clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won two of four recently (10 scored, 4 conceded). F. Mura, M. Silvetti and T. Allende, plus one other, are all unavailable.

So far in the Major League Soccer, New York City have won nine, drawn 12 and lost 12 of 33, with 48 goals scored and 45 conceded, good for 11th place and 39 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, two draws and three defeats, averaging 1.0 goals for and 1.2 against. Last time out they lost 2-1 to Chicago Fire away; before that came a 2-2 draw away at Atlanta Utd and a 1-0 defeat at home to New York Red Bulls.

New York City haven't won in three. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won one of three recently (5 scored, 4 conceded). A. Farnos, D. Baiera and K. Parks, plus four others, are all unavailable.

Home and away form points to Inter Miami: Inter Miami have won two of their last four at home, New York City one of their last three on the road. 20 points separate the two sides in the table. Inter Miami also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Inter Miami clear favourites at 59%, with New York City on 17% and the draw at 24%.

On goals, it expects around 3.2 in the game: 2.1 for Inter Miami and 1.0 for New York City. Over 2.5 goals is 61% and both teams scoring 57%. When they last met, on 22 Mar 2026, Inter Miami won 3-2.