KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden prediction

KV Mechelen have won two, drawn three and lost four of their nine Pro League games so far, scoring 10 and letting in 17. That has them 14th on 9 points.

Their last six in all competitions read no wins, two draws and four defeats, at 0.7 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 3-2 to Karpaty at home; before that came a goalless draw away at Lommel SK and a 1-0 defeat at home to Anderlecht.

KV Mechelen haven't won in six. They failed to score in four of those games. At home they've won none of three recently (2 scored, 8 conceded).

So far in the Pro League, St. Truiden have won two, drawn two and lost six of ten, with 18 goals scored and 21 conceded, good for 15th place and 8 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, one draw and three defeats, averaging 1.8 goals for and 1.8 against. Last time out they lost 2-0 to Westerlo at home; before that came a 2-0 defeat away at SK Beveren and a 4-0 win at home to RAAL La Louviere.

They failed to score in three of those games. On the road they've won one of three recently (7 scored, 6 conceded).

Home and away form points to St. Truiden: KV Mechelen have won none of their last three at home, St. Truiden one of their last three on the road. One point separates the two sides in the table. St. Truiden also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make KV Mechelen favourites at 47%, with St. Truiden on 28% and the draw at 25%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, KV Mechelen still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.7 in the game: 1.6 for KV Mechelen and 1.1 for St. Truiden. Over 2.5 goals is 50% and both teams scoring 54%. When they last met, on 24 May 2026, St Truiden won 3-0.