Torreense vs Sunderland prediction

So far in the UEFA Europa League, Torreense have won one, drawn none and lost two of three, with 4 goals scored and 7 conceded, good for 28th place and 3 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, two draws and two defeats, averaging 1.0 goals for and 1.2 against. Last time out they lost 1-0 to Tondela away; before that came a 2-1 win away at Lillestrom and a goalless draw at home to Leixoes.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. At home they've won none of two recently (0 scored, 3 conceded). N. Jatta (red card) misses out.

Sunderland have won two, drawn one and lost none of their three UEFA Europa League games so far, scoring 4 and letting in 2. That has them 9th on 7 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, one draw and three defeats, at 1.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 2-0 to Brighton & Hove Albion at home; before that came a 5-3 defeat away at Manchester City and a 1-0 win at home to AZ Alkmaar.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won none of two recently (4 scored, 6 conceded). A. Browne (off the roster), B. Brobbey (muscle injury) and C. Talbi (off the roster), plus eight others, are all unavailable.

There isn't much between Torreense's home form and Sunderland's away form. Four points separate the two sides in the table. Torreense also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Sunderland clear favourites at 68%, with Torreense on 12% and the draw at 20%.

On goals, it expects around 2.6 in the game: 0.8 for Torreense and 1.8 for Sunderland. Over 2.5 goals is 49% and both teams scoring 47%.