Weston-super-Mare vs Braintree prediction

So far in the National League - South, Weston-super-Mare have won five, drawn three and lost six of 14, with 21 goals scored and 21 conceded, good for 15th place and 18 points.

Over the last six matches it has been no wins, two draws and four defeats, averaging 1.0 goals for and 2.5 against. Last time out they lost 2-0 to Dorking Wanderers away; before that came a 2-1 defeat away at Farnborough and a 6-1 defeat away at Ebbsfleet United.

Weston-super-Mare haven't won in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six.

Braintree have won five, drawn one and lost eight of their 14 National League - South games so far, scoring 21 and letting in 34. That has them 17th on 16 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, no draws and three defeats, at 1.3 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Norwich City U21 3-1 at home; before that came a 1-0 win at home to Hampton & Richmond and a 2-1 win at home to Dagenham & Redbridge.

Braintree are unbeaten in three. They failed to score in two of those games. On the road they've won none of two recently (0 scored, 9 conceded).

Two points separate the two sides in the table.

We make Weston-super-Mare favourites at 42%, with Braintree on 34% and the draw at 23%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Weston-super-Mare still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 3.1 in the game: 1.8 for Weston-super-Mare and 1.3 for Braintree. Over 2.5 goals is 59% and both teams scoring 59%. When they last met, on 6 Apr 2024, Braintree won 1-0.