Stoke City vs Bristol City prediction

So far in the Championship, Stoke City have won seven, drawn two and lost four of 13, with 20 goals scored and 16 conceded, good for 7th place and 23 points.

Over the last six matches it has been four wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 1.7 goals for and 1.2 against. Last time out they beat Derby 1-0 away; before that came a 3-2 defeat at home to Middlesbrough and a 2-1 win away at Bolton.

They have scored in each of their last six. At home they've won one of two recently (4 scored, 4 conceded). A. Ampah (knee injury), A. Cresswell (knee injury) and E. Bocat (injury), plus two others, are all unavailable.

Bristol City have won five, drawn three and lost five of their 13 Championship games so far, scoring 15 and letting in 17. That has them 14th on 18 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, one draw and three defeats, at 0.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 1-0 to Sheffield United at home; before that came a 1-0 defeat at home to Blackburn and a 1-1 draw away at Charlton.

Bristol City haven't won in three. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. On the road they've won one of two recently (3 scored, 1 conceded). E. Adebayo (inactive), J. Williams (inactive) and L. Tolaj (knock), plus two others, are all unavailable.

Home and away form points to Bristol City: Stoke City have won one of their last two at home, Bristol City one of their last two on the road. Five points separate the two sides in the table. Stoke City also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Stoke City favourites at 44%, with Bristol City on 29% and the draw at 27%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.7 in the game: 1.3 for Stoke City and 1.4 for Bristol City. Over 2.5 goals is 52% and both teams scoring 54%. When they last met, on 2 May 2026, Bristol City won 2-0.