Bremen vs SC Paderborn prediction

Bremen have won four, drawn three and lost one of their eight Bundesliga games so far, scoring 17 and letting in 14. That has them 5th on 15 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, two draws and two defeats, at 1.7 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 2-2 with Borussia Dortmund; before that came a 3-2 win at home to Augsburg and a 1-1 draw away at 1. FC Köln.

Bremen are unbeaten in four. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. At home they've won two of three recently (6 scored, 5 conceded). F. Agu (calf injury), J. Njinmah (thigh injury) and J. Stage (muscle injury), plus five others, are all unavailable.

So far in the Bundesliga, SC Paderborn have won two, drawn three and lost three of eight, with 6 goals scored and 9 conceded, good for 14th place and 9 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, one draw and three defeats, averaging 0.7 goals for and 1.2 against. Last time out they lost 2-0 to Stuttgart at home; before that came a 1-0 win away at DC United and a 3-1 win at home to Hoffenheim.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank four times. On the road they've won one of three recently (1 scored, 3 conceded). N. Awortwie-Grant (knee injury), S. Klaas (muscle injury) and T. Gayret (knee injury) are all unavailable.

Home and away form points to Bremen: Bremen have won two of their last three at home, SC Paderborn one of their last three on the road. Six points separate the two sides in the table.

We make Bremen clear favourites at 52%, with SC Paderborn on 27% and the draw at 21%.

On goals, it expects around 2.8 in the game: 1.6 for Bremen and 1.3 for SC Paderborn. Over 2.5 goals is 54% and both teams scoring 57%. When they last met, on 22 Jan 2022, Werder Bremen won 4-3.