Ukraine vs Hungary prediction

Ukraine have won one, drawn one and lost two of their four UEFA Nations League games so far, scoring 2 and letting in 5. That has them 3rd on 4 points.

Their last three in all competitions read one win, one draw and one defeat, at 0.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 3-0 to Northern Ireland at home; before that came a goalless draw away at Georgia and a 1-0 win away at Hungary.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice.

So far in the UEFA Nations League, Hungary have won two, drawn one and lost one of four, with 3 goals scored and 2 conceded, good for 2nd place and 7 points.

Over the last three matches it has been one win, one draw and one defeat, averaging 0.3 goals for and 0.3 against. Last time out they beat Georgia 1-0 at home; before that came a goalless draw away at Northern Ireland and a 1-0 defeat at home to Ukraine.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice.

Three points separate the two sides in the table. Hungary also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Ukraine favourites at 42%, with Hungary on 31% and the draw at 27%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Ukraine still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.2 in the game: 1.2 for Ukraine and 1.0 for Hungary. Over 2.5 goals is 39% and both teams scoring 45%. When they last met, on 25 Sept 2026, Ukraine won 1-0.