Cenicero vs Agoncillo prediction

So far in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 6, Cenicero have won one, drawn two and lost six of nine, with 8 goals scored and 16 conceded, good for 16th place and 5 points.

Over the last six matches it has been no wins, no draws and six defeats, averaging 0.8 goals for and 2.3 against. Last time out they lost 4-1 to Oyonesa away; before that came a 1-0 defeat at home to La Calzada and a 1-0 defeat away at Pradejón.

Cenicero haven't won in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in two of those games. At home they've won none of two recently (1 scored, 4 conceded).

Agoncillo have won four, drawn three and lost two of their nine Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 games so far, scoring 18 and letting in 12. That has them 8th on 15 points.

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, one draw and one defeat, at 2.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Last time out they beat River Ebro 1-0 at home; before that came a 3-1 win away at Berceo and a 2-2 draw at home to Comillas.

Agoncillo are unbeaten in three. Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won two of three recently (8 scored, 3 conceded).

Home and away form points to Agoncillo: Cenicero have won none of their last two at home, Agoncillo two of their last three on the road. Ten points separate the two sides in the table. Agoncillo also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Agoncillo favourites at 42%, with Cenicero on 30% and the draw at 29%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.5 in the game: 1.1 for Cenicero and 1.4 for Agoncillo. Over 2.5 goals is 45% and both teams scoring 50%.