Mantova vs Hellas Verona prediction

Mantova have won five, drawn three and lost two of their ten Serie B games so far, scoring 15 and letting in 11. That has them 4th on 18 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, two draws and two defeats, at 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Modena; before that came a 2-0 defeat at home to Cremonese and a 1-0 win away at Virtus Entella.

They failed to score in two of those games. At home they've won none of three recently (2 scored, 6 conceded).

So far in the Serie B, Hellas Verona have won four, drawn three and lost three of ten, with 19 goals scored and 13 conceded, good for 5th place and 15 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, two draws and one defeat, averaging 2.0 goals for and 1.2 against. Last time out they beat Carrarese 3-0 at home; before that came a 1-0 win away at Juve Stabia and a 1-1 draw at home to Pisa.

Hellas Verona are unbeaten in four. They have scored in each of their last six. Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won two of three recently (6 scored, 4 conceded).

Home and away form points to Hellas Verona: Mantova have won none of their last three at home, Hellas Verona two of their last three on the road. Three points separate the two sides in the table. Hellas Verona also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Hellas Verona favourites at 39%, with Mantova on 32% and the draw at 29%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.7 in the game: 1.2 for Mantova and 1.5 for Hellas Verona. Over 2.5 goals is 50% and both teams scoring 54%. When they last met, on 19 May 2007, Hellas Verona won 2-0.