Juventus vs Rennes prediction

So far in the UEFA Europa League, Juventus have won two, drawn one and lost none of three, with 9 goals scored and 3 conceded, good for 7th place and 7 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, one draw and two defeats, averaging 1.7 goals for and 1.0 against. Last time out they lost 3-0 to Lazio at home; before that came a 2-1 win away at Celta and a 1-1 draw away at Cagliari.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won two of four recently (7 scored, 4 conceded). A. Durmisi (red card), A. Milik (inactive) and D. Rugani (off the roster), plus seven others, are all unavailable.

Rennes have won one, drawn two and lost none of their three UEFA Europa League games so far, scoring 4 and letting in 3. That has them 13th on 5 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, one draw and three defeats, at 1.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 4-3 to Paris FC away; before that came a 2-1 win at home to OFI Crete and a 4-1 win at home to Auxerre.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last five. They failed to score in three of those games. On the road they've won none of four recently (3 scored, 9 conceded). E. Lepaul (ankle injury) misses out.

Home and away form points to Juventus: Juventus have won two of their last four at home, Rennes none of their last four on the road. Two points separate the two sides in the table. Juventus also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Juventus clear favourites at 70%, with Rennes on 13% and the draw at 17%.

On goals, it expects around 3.2 in the game: 2.2 for Juventus and 1.0 for Rennes. Over 2.5 goals is 62% and both teams scoring 58%.