Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga prediction

Nagoya Grampus have won four, drawn two and lost seven of their 13 J1 League games so far, scoring 15 and letting in 21. That has them 11th on 14 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, three draws and two defeats, at 1.7 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 3-1 to Vissel Kobe away; before that came a 2-1 defeat at home to Urawa Reds and a 1-1 draw at home to Yokohama F. Marinos.

Nagoya Grampus haven't won in four. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. At home they've won none of four recently (6 scored, 7 conceded).

So far in the J1 League, Kyoto Sanga have won three, drawn four and lost six of 13, with 17 goals scored and 23 conceded, good for 14th place and 13 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, three draws and one defeat, averaging 1.8 goals for and 1.5 against. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by Công An Nhân Dân; before that came a 2-0 win at home to Shimizu S-Pulse and a 5-2 win at home to Newcastle Jets.

Kyoto Sanga are unbeaten in five. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won none of three recently (2 scored, 5 conceded).

There isn't much between Nagoya Grampus's home form and Kyoto Sanga's away form. One point separates the two sides in the table. Kyoto Sanga also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Nagoya Grampus favourites at 50%, with Kyoto Sanga on 25% and the draw at 25%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Nagoya Grampus still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.8 in the game: 1.4 for Nagoya Grampus and 1.4 for Kyoto Sanga. Over 2.5 goals is 55% and both teams scoring 56%. When they last met, on 10 May 2026, Nagoya Grampus won 3-0.