Ostia Mare vs Spezia prediction

So far in the Serie C - Girone B, Ostia Mare have won two, drawn three and lost seven of 12, with 10 goals scored and 15 conceded, good for 18th place and 9 points.

Over the last six matches it has been no wins, three draws and three defeats, averaging 0.5 goals for and 1.2 against. Last time out they lost 1-0 to Livorno away; before that came a 2-1 defeat at home to Vado and a 2-0 defeat away at Pescara.

Ostia Mare haven't won in six. They failed to score in three of those games. At home they've won none of three recently (2 scored, 3 conceded).

Spezia have won ten, drawn two and lost none of their 12 Serie C - Girone B games so far, scoring 21 and letting in 6. That has them 1st on 32 points.

Their last six in all competitions read five wins, one draw and no defeats, at 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Atalanta II 2-1 at home; before that came a 2-1 win at home to Livorno and a 1-1 draw at home to Latina.

Spezia are unbeaten in six. They have scored in each of their last six. Three clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won two of two recently (2 scored, 0 conceded).

Home and away form points to Spezia: Ostia Mare have won none of their last three at home, Spezia two of their last two on the road. 23 points separate the two sides in the table. Spezia also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Spezia clear favourites at 57%, with Ostia Mare on 17% and the draw at 27%.

On goals, it expects around 2.3 in the game: 0.9 for Ostia Mare and 1.4 for Spezia. Over 2.5 goals is 46% and both teams scoring 43%.