Le Mans vs Monaco prediction

Le Mans have won one, drawn four and lost four of their nine Ligue 1 games so far, scoring 11 and letting in 18. That has them 17th on 7 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, one draw and four defeats, at 0.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 2-0 to Troyes away; before that came a 1-1 draw away at Auxerre and a 3-0 defeat at home to Toulouse.

Le Mans haven't won in five. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in two of those games. At home they've won one of two recently (2 scored, 4 conceded).

So far in the Ligue 1, Monaco have won four, drawn three and lost two of nine, with 12 goals scored and 10 conceded, good for 7th place and 15 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, two draws and two defeats, averaging 1.5 goals for and 1.3 against. Last time out they lost 3-1 to Paris FC away; before that came a 1-1 draw at home to Lille and a 3-0 win at home to Freiburg.

On the road they've won one of three recently (3 scored, 5 conceded).

Home and away form points to Le Mans: Le Mans have won one of their last two at home, Monaco one of their last three on the road. Eight points separate the two sides in the table. Monaco also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Monaco clear favourites at 57%, with Le Mans on 20% and the draw at 23%.

On goals, it expects around 3.3 in the game: 0.9 for Le Mans and 2.4 for Monaco. Over 2.5 goals is 64% and both teams scoring 53%. When they last met, on 17 May 2013, Monaco won 2-1.