Barau vs Kwara United prediction

Barau have won three, drawn seven and lost one of their 11 NPFL games so far, scoring 13 and letting in 10. That has them 7th on 16 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, four draws and one defeat, at 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by Rivers United; before that came a 2-2 draw at home to Enugu Rangers and a 4-1 defeat away at Bendel Insurance.

Barau haven't won in four. Three clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won one of two recently (4 scored, 2 conceded).

So far in the NPFL, Kwara United have won three, drawn three and lost five of 11, with 12 goals scored and 13 conceded, good for 15th place and 12 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, one draw and three defeats, averaging 0.8 goals for and 1.2 against. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Abia Warriors; before that came a 2-0 defeat away at Ikorodu City and a 2-1 win at home to Ranchers Bees.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in three of those games. On the road they've won none of three recently (0 scored, 4 conceded).

Home and away form points to Barau: Barau have won one of their last two at home, Kwara United none of their last three on the road. Four points separate the two sides in the table.

We make Barau clear favourites at 72%, with Kwara United on 9% and the draw at 19%.

On goals, it expects around 2.5 in the game: 1.7 for Barau and 0.8 for Kwara United. Over 2.5 goals is 50% and both teams scoring 51%. When they last met, on 30 Nov 2025, Barau FC won 3-2.