M'gladbach vs SC Paderborn prediction

So far in the Bundesliga, M'gladbach have won one, drawn one and lost six of eight, with 11 goals scored and 22 conceded, good for 18th place and 4 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, one draw and three defeats, averaging 1.8 goals for and 1.8 against. Last time out they beat Karlsruhe 2-0 at home; before that came a 3-2 win away at Stuttgart and a 2-1 defeat at home to Hoffenheim.

They have scored in each of their last six. At home they've won one of three recently (6 scored, 6 conceded). E. Leopold (knee injury), F. Fleck (muscle injury) and F. Honorat (muscle injury), plus four others, are all unavailable.

SC Paderborn have won two, drawn three and lost three of their eight Bundesliga games so far, scoring 6 and letting in 9. That has them 14th on 9 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, one draw and two defeats, at 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 1-0 to Stuttgart at home; before that came a 1-0 win at home to Hamburger SV and a 2-2 draw away at Werder Bremen.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won one of two recently (3 scored, 2 conceded). G. Vidovic (foot injury), M. Hoffmeier (muscle injury) and N. Awortwie-Grant (knee injury), plus four others, are all unavailable.

Home and away form points to SC Paderborn: M'gladbach have won one of their last three at home, SC Paderborn one of their last two on the road. Five points separate the two sides in the table.

We make M'gladbach favourites at 50%, with SC Paderborn on 28% and the draw at 22%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 3.3 in the game: 1.8 for M'gladbach and 1.5 for SC Paderborn. Over 2.5 goals is 60% and both teams scoring 59%. When they last met, on 20 Jun 2020, Borussia Monchengladbach won 3-1.