Sevilla vs Osasuna prediction

Sevilla have won five, drawn two and lost four of their 11 La Liga games so far, scoring 17 and letting in 19. That has them 6th on 17 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, one draw and three defeats, at 1.3 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 4-1 to Real Madrid away; before that came a 3-3 draw away at Levante and a 3-1 defeat at home to Aston Villa.

Sevilla haven't won in four. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. Two clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won one of three recently (3 scored, 6 conceded). Marcao (muscle injury) and M. Sierra (shoulder injury) both miss out.

So far in the La Liga, Osasuna have won three, drawn two and lost six of 11, with 11 goals scored and 22 conceded, good for 15th place and 11 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, one draw and four defeats, averaging 1.2 goals for and 2.8 against. Last time out they beat Santander 2-0 at home; before that came a 5-2 defeat away at Real Betis and a 1-1 draw at home to Vallecano.

They failed to score in two of those games. On the road they've won none of three recently (4 scored, 14 conceded). A. Bonel (groin injury), A. Oroz (hamstring injury) and J. Herrando (muscle injury), plus one other, are all unavailable.

Home and away form points to Sevilla: Sevilla have won one of their last three at home, Osasuna none of their last three on the road. Six points separate the two sides in the table. Sevilla also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Sevilla clear favourites at 51%, with Osasuna on 25% and the draw at 25%.

On goals, it expects around 2.8 in the game: 1.6 for Sevilla and 1.2 for Osasuna. Over 2.5 goals is 51% and both teams scoring 51%. When they last met, on 26 Apr 2026, Osasuna won 2-1.